Good points. The choice of baseline definitely skews the results, as excess is always relative. Also there is the "dry tinder" hypothesis as well (see Sweden), but that would only really apply to 2020 relative to 2018-2019. (Edited: I read it wrong the first time.)
Good points. The choice of baseline definitely skews the results, as excess is always relative. Also there is the "dry tinder" hypothesis as well (see Sweden), but that would only really apply to 2020 relative to 2018-2019. (Edited: I read it wrong the first time.)